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New Research Finds Link Between Air Pollution And Traffic Accidents

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Air pollution appears to be causing an increase in traffic accidents, according to a new study by the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment at the London School of Economics and Political Science.

An analysis by researcher Lutz Sager found that small increases in the level of nitrogen dioxide in the air are correlated with a measurable rise in the number of traffic accidents in the United Kingdom.

Sager’s results, based on data for the period between 2009 and 2014, show that a rise in the average concentration of nitrogen dioxide of just 1 microgramme per cubic metre is sufficient to increase the average number of accidents each day by 2 per cent, with the biggest effect occurring in cities.

Sager’s analysis divided the UK into a grid of 32 areas each covering about 7700 square kilometres. He calculated that in the area containing west London, which suffers from some of the highest levels of air pollution, a cut of about 30 per cent in the concentration of nitrogen dioxide could reduce the number of road accidents every day by almost 5 per cent.

Sager said: “Although it has already been shown that air pollution adversely affects human health and the ability to carry out mental tasks, this is the first published study that assesses the impact on road safety. The analysis identifies a causal effect of air pollution on road accidents, but I can only speculate about the cause of the link. My main theory is that air pollution impairs drivers’ fitness. However, other explanations are possible such as air pollution causing physical distractions, perhaps an itching nose, or limiting visibility.”

He added: “Whatever the exact mechanisms responsible, the robust finding of a significant effect of air quality on road safety is important given the high cost of road traffic accidents through damage to vehicles and deaths and injuries to people every day. Although this analysis has used data for the United Kingdom, I think my findings are relevant to other parts of the world. These additional costs from traffic accidents strengthen the case for reducing air pollution, particularly in congested cities.”

Air pollution can result from many different pollutants, including carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulphur dioxide, small particulate matter and ozone. Many of these pollutants are caused by the same source.

Sager said: “My analysis suggests that the causal effect of air pollution on road traffic accidents measured in this study more likely stems from nitrogen dioxide or other pollutant gases rather than particulate matter.”

The results of the study are published today as a working paper, and will be submitted to a journal for publication.

To obtain a copy of the working paper on ‘Estimating the effect of air pollution on road safety using atmospheric temperature inversions’, please contact Bob Ward r.e.ward@lse.ac.uk

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1. The Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment (http://www.lse.ac.uk/grantham) was launched at the London School of Economics and Political Science in October 2008. It is funded by The Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment (http://www.granthamfoundation.org/).

Source: London School of Economics and Political Science

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